[This
is part of the book: Basis Of Singaporean Spirit - People Power, click here to go to the main page]
[Readers' advisory: This is a very technical chapter, however, I still have to include it in order for readers to fully appreciate the importance of basis]
I have come across
many leaders and professionals who are experts in their respective fields, with
impressive resumes, titles and great credentials. However, we have to
understand that prior experiences, good qualifications, and excellent profiles
do not reduce the probability of one being mediocre.
In fact, those could even increase the degree
of mediocrity. I am going to share with you a case study (simplified for ease
of understanding) that really shocked me.
A 6-sigma Black Belt[i]
was tasked to perform an investigation and provide root cause analysis and
solution for complaints received from customers.
After extensive investigation and data
collection, the Black Belt provided the following information and a Pareto chart[ii]
as follows:
Table 1: Complaints Received from Customers
S/No
|
Complaint Type
|
Count
|
Cumulative Count
|
Cumulative %
|
1
|
Unfriendly staff
|
200
|
200
|
20.0
|
2
|
Overprice
|
180
|
380
|
38.0
|
3
|
Long wait time
|
150
|
530
|
53.0
|
4
|
Poor ambience
|
120
|
650
|
65.0
|
5
|
Cleanliness
|
100
|
750
|
75.0
|
6
|
High noise level
|
80
|
830
|
83.0
|
7
|
Food not fresh
|
60
|
890
|
89.0
|
8
|
Not accessible
|
50
|
940
|
94.0
|
9
|
Limited choices
|
40
|
980
|
98.0
|
10
|
Small portions
|
20
|
1000
|
100.0
|
Total
|
1000
|
Figure 2: Pareto Analysis of Restaurant Complaints
The recommendation provided was for the
restaurant to focus on addressing the issues with Unfriendly Staff, Overprice
food items, Long wait time, Poor ambience, Cleanliness and also to look at the High noisy level, citing that once those were addressed, the
restaurant would be able to address more than 80% of the issues.
The management was so happy that the causes
were identified and solutions proposed and hurried to implement those.
The end result of the changes was a much
bigger mess. Do you know why?
Well, looking at the numbers and the chart,
the analysis was logical, isn't it? Do you know what was wrong? (Hint: nothing
to do with data or the chart)
If I were to tell you that everything was
wrong, do you know why?
Yes, indeed, everything was wrong! This is
because the basis of Pareto analysis is
80-20 rule, the law of the vital few.
In simple terms, what Pareto analysis stated is that 80% of the problems are caused by 20% of
the issues – by addressing 20% of the issues, you will solve 80% of the problems.
The above ended up with solving 60% of the problems to get that 80% benefit,
which is totally rubbish!
My dear leaders, this happened so often in
real life and I am sure some of you are even guilty of it.
Therefore, the right conclusion above should
be that the root cause of the complaints from customers was not due to staff,
food, price, etc. and that we needed to perform further investigation.
The following is the same information being
presented differently, grouped by Complaint Location:
Table 2: Complaints Received from Location
S/No
|
Complaint Location
|
Count
|
Cumulative Count
|
Cumulative %
|
1
|
Bedok Mall
|
450
|
450
|
45.0
|
2
|
West Mall
|
350
|
800
|
80.0
|
3
|
Jurong Point
|
60
|
860
|
86.0
|
4
|
Centrepoint
|
40
|
900
|
90.0
|
5
|
Clementi Mall
|
30
|
930
|
93.0
|
6
|
ION Orchard
|
20
|
950
|
95.0
|
7
|
Marina Bay Sands
|
20
|
970
|
97.0
|
8
|
Westgate
|
15
|
985
|
98.5
|
9
|
Tampines Mall
|
10
|
995
|
99.5
|
10
|
White Sands
|
5
|
1000
|
100.0
|
Total
|
1000
|
Figure 3: Pareto Analysis of Restaurant Complaints by Location
Now we know the root cause – the Bedok Mall and West Mall branches were
causing 80% of the issues. So by addressing the problems with Bedok Mall and
West Mall branches (20%), we would be able to solve 80% of the issues.
Further analysis could be done to understand
what was wrong with those branches. Who knows, maybe the so called 'talented'
managers that you employed from those 2 locations had bogus certificates as
well as fake working experiences!
Relating these back to the first analysis
and the actions being taken, did you realise how dangerous it was to take any
remedial actions without understanding the root cause?
See, other branches were working fine. By
enforcing new policies and procedures throughout all the branches, the
management had caused havoc throughout the organisation, yet, not solving the root
issues.
This is one of the core reasons why
business improvement initiatives failed badly – solving the wrong problems. In
Chinese this is called: "Climbing up the tree to look for fishes" (缘木求鱼). Silly, isn't it? So why are you doing it?
You can pay top dollars to employ the
so-called 'best and most qualified' people, you can leverage the best
methodologies, you can perform the most complex analysis and modelling, but
when the basis is wrong, nothing will be right.
This is similar to what our leaders are
doing, they can give out incentives, they can revamp National Service, and they
can also do massive changes to the CPF[iii]
schemes. But if the basis is wrong, nothing will be right.
As you can see, "basis" is of utmost
importance in anything. Relating this to leadership, what do you think is the
basis of a leader?
BOSS Wisdom: "The basis is of utmost importance, when
the basis is wrong, nothing will be right." - BOSS
[This is part of the book: Basis Of Singaporean Spirit - People Power, click here to go to the main page]
[i] 6-sigma Black Belt is a process
improvement expert.
[ii] Pareto Chart is a type of chart used
in analysis so that you can focus on the most significant problems or causes
(if done correctly, of course), refer to the diagrams.
[iii] CPF stands for Central Provident Fund. It is meant to be
Singaporeans' pension fund.
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